Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Tue 06/10                          Wed 06/11
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    48   33   44   48   34   23   30   40   31   22   28   37   26   17
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    6
Chance Precip      20   70   30   20   30   20   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None  Low  Low  Mod  Low None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld  Cld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        69   71   73   74   75   73   71   69   68   70   74   76   76   73
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)        S12 SW13 SW12 SW12 SW10  SW7   S6  SW5   W5  NW3   N3  SE6   S7   S6
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Thu 06/12           Fri 06/13           Sat 06/14           Sun 06/15
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    29   16   27   12   22   13   21   10   20   17   25   38   60   52   51
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    9    9    9    9    8    9    7    5    6    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    5   10    5   10   30   40   30   40   50   40   30   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None  Mod  Low None  Mod  Mod None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld  Cld Mcld
Temperature        70   70   78   74   71   73   75   72   71   71   74   72   69   69   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SW6  SW6   S9   S9  SW7  SW6  S10   S9   S8  SW9  S13  E12 NE12 NE12  E14
Wind Gust                                                                 17        17   20

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Tue 06/10                          Wed 06/11
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    49   37   57   64   38   24   40   55   38   25   37   46   25   14
Surf Height (ft)    2    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      20   50   30   20   30   30   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None  Low  Low  Mod  Mod None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld  Cld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        71   72   74   74   76   75   72   70   69   71   75   77   78   75
Heat Index                                                                            
Wind (mph)        S14 SW15 SW14 SW13 SW10  SW7  SW6  SW6   W5  NW3  NE3  SE5   S6   S6
Wind Gust               20                                                            


Date               Thu 06/12           Fri 06/13           Sat 06/14           Sun 06/15
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    38   18   34   11   33   15   29   10   28   16   27   24   52   37   39
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    7    9    9    9    9    9    9    5    7    7
Chance Precip       5    0    0    5   10    5   10   30   40   30   40   50   40   30   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None  Mod  Low None  Mod  Mod None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        71   72   80   75   73   74   78   74   72   73   76   73   71   71   74
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SW6  SW5   S8   S9  SW8  SW6  S10  S10  SW8  SW9  S12  E13 NE12 NE13  E14
Wind Gust                                                                                20

Virginia Beach

Date               Tue 06/10                          Wed 06/11
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    4    7    8    3    2    3    5    3    2    2    4    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    6    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    6    6    6
Chance Precip      50   60   20   40   60   50   40   30   20   10   10   20   20   10
TSTM Potential    Low None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low None None None None  Low  Low None
Cloud Cover       Cld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        74   74   77   78   80   78   75   74   73   74   77   79   80   77
Heat Index                                                                     84     
Wind (mph)       SW15 SW18 SW17 SW16 SW14 SW10  SW9  SW8   W7   W6   N5   E6   E6  SE6
Wind Gust          20   24   23   21                                                  


Date               Thu 06/12           Fri 06/13           Sat 06/14           Sun 06/15
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     5    2    5    2    4    2    3    1    3    2    4    2    3    4   14
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    7    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip       5    5   10   10   10   10   30   30   40   20   50   50   40   30   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Low None  Mod  Mod  Low None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        74   75   82   78   76   76   81   78   76   76   80   78   75   75   79
Heat Index                   88                  86                  85                    
Wind (mph)        SW6  SW5  SE8  S10  SW8  SW7  S10  S10 SW10 SW10 SW13 SW10 SW12  W14 NE15
Wind Gust                                                                                20

Currituck Beaches

Date               Tue 06/10                          Wed 06/11
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    4    6    6    3    2    3    4    3    2    3    4    3    2
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      50   40   20   50   40   60   40   30   20   20   20   30   30   10
TSTM Potential    Low None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low None None None None  Low  Low None
Cloud Cover       Cld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   75   77   77   80   78   75   74   73   74   77   79   80   77
Heat Index                                                           81   83   84   81
Wind (mph)       SW16 SW18 SW17 SW16 SW15 SW10  SW9  SW9  SW7   W6  NW5  SE6  SE6  SE5
Wind Gust          21   24   23   21                                                  


Date               Thu 06/12           Fri 06/13           Sat 06/14           Sun 06/15
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     5    3    5    2    4    2    4    2    4    3    4    3    4    4   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      10   10   10   10   20   20   30   30   40   30   50   50   40   30   50
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Low None  Mod  Mod  Mod None  Mod  Mod  Low None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   75   82   78   76   76   81   79   76   76   80   78   76   75   79
Heat Index         78   79   87             80   86                  84                    
Wind (mph)        SW5  SW5   S7   S9  SW7  SW7   S9  S10  SW9 SW10 SW10 SW10 SW10  W12  E13
Wind Gust

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *