Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Sat 07/26                          Sun 07/27
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    17   10   13   29   30   15   13   24   27   16   14   28   35   17
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    6    6    6    6    6
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   30   30   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        77   79   80   80   80   79   78   78   77   78   80   80   81   80
Heat Index         81        84   84   84                       82   84   86   88   87
Wind (mph)         N7   N8 NE10 NE10 NE10   E8   E8  SE7  SE6  SE6   S8  S10  S10   S7
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 07/28           Tue 07/29           Wed 07/30           Thu 07/31
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    16   12   13   12   10    8    6    9    7    8    5   10    7   11    8
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    8    8    8    8    8   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Chance Precip      20   10   10    5    5   10    5    5    5    0    5    5   20   20   40
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None  Low None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   79   81   80   78   79   84   82   79   80   84   82   79   80   82
Heat Index         82   83   87   86   83   84   91   91   84   87   92   89   84   86   89
Wind (mph)         W6   N6  NE8  SE5  SW3  NW3  SE7   S8  SW7   W6   S9   S8  SW7  SW7 SE12
Wind Gust

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Sat 07/26                          Sun 07/27
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    27   11   14   33   28    9    8   22   24    8    7   21   30   11
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    7
Chance Precip       5    5    0    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   20   20   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   80   82   81   82   79   78   78   77   79   81   82   83   81
Heat Index         82   86   88   87   88             82   81   83   88   89   92   89
Wind (mph)         N7   N7  NE9 NE10 NE10   E9   E8  SE7  SE6  SE6   S7   S9  S10   S8
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 07/28           Tue 07/29           Wed 07/30           Thu 07/31
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    16    8   10    9   10    7    6   11   10   11    6   15   11   16   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    8    8    8    8    8   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Chance Precip      20   10   10    5    5   10    5    5    5    0    5    5   10   20   40
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld
Temperature        79   80   83   81   78   80   85   83   80   82   85   82   80   82   84
Heat Index         83   85   90   87   83   87   93   91   86   90   94   90   86   90   92
Wind (mph)         W6   N6   E7  SE6  SW3  NW3  SE7   S8  SW7   W6   S8   S9  SW8  SW7  S13
Wind Gust

Virginia Beach

Date               Sat 07/26                          Sun 07/27
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     6    2    2    6    6    2    1    3    4    2    1    3    5    3
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        80   80   83   83   82   81   80   79   79   80   82   84   84   83
Heat Index         86   88   92   92   90   88   86   84   83   87   90   94   94   92
Wind (mph)         W9   N6   N7  NE8   E8   E8   E7   E6  SE6  SE6  SE6  SE8  SE9   S8
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 07/28           Tue 07/29           Wed 07/30           Thu 07/31
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     9    8    9    6    4    3    2    2    1    1    1    2    1    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    5    6    7    8   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Chance Precip      30   10   20   10   10   10   20    5    5    5   10   10   10   10   40
TSTM Potential    Low None  Low None None None  Low None None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        80   81   83   83   80   81   84   83   81   80   86   84   82   81   86
Heat Index         87   88   93   91   87   88   94   92   87   87   97   94   88   88   98
Wind (mph)         W6  NW6  NE8   E6   S3  NW5   E7  SE7  SW6   W6  SE9  S10  SW8  SW7 SE12
Wind Gust

Currituck Beaches

Date               Sat 07/26                          Sun 07/27
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     6    2    3    6    5    1    1    3    3    2    2    4    5    4
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip       0    0    0   10    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        80   81   83   83   82   82   81   80   80   81   83   84   84   83
Heat Index         87   88   93   94   92   91   89   87   86   88   93   95   95   93
Wind (mph)         W9  NW6   N6  NE7  NE6   E6   E6   E5  SE5  SE6  SE6  SE7  SE7   S7
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 07/28           Tue 07/29           Wed 07/30           Thu 07/31
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    10    9   12    8    7    5    3    3    2    2    1    2    1    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    6    6    6    7    8   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Chance Precip      40   20   30   20   10   20   20   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   30
TSTM Potential    Low None  Mod  Low  Low None  Low None None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld
Temperature        81   81   83   83   80   81   84   83   81   81   86   84   82   82   86
Heat Index         90   90   93   92   88   89   94   92   88   88   97   95   91   91   98
Wind (mph)         W6  NW6  NE6   E3   S2   N5   E6  SE6  SW5   W5  SE7   S7  SW7  SW6   S9
Wind Gust

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *