Areas of Dangerous Heat and Heavy Rain with Possible Flooding This Week

Hot temperatures and high humidity are forecast to continue across much of northeast Texas into the mid-Mississippi Valley through this week. Heavy to excessive rainfall occurring at times through Saturday could bring areas of flooding across parts of the central Plains into the upper Midwest/Great Lakes, and Four Corners states. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Wed, Sep 16, 2026 at 12:35:00 am EDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

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National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area, FL

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Short Term Forecast

3 Day Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

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Marine Winds

Wave Heights

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase as the week progresses as a frontal system stalls out over the southern peninsula. Rain/Thunder chances will be highest Wednesday night into Thursday, then slightly decreasing as we move into Friday. Temperatures remain normal with highs near 90 and lows near 80.

A trough of low pressure located about 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development in a couple of days while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

TODAY...Partly cloudy with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Highs near 90. East-Northeast winds 10-15 mph. Chance of showers and thunderstorms around 50 percent.

MARINE WINDS TODAY...Gentle to moderate easterly breezes. Bay/Gulfside 1-2 ft, W of Marquesas ~2 ft, Hawk Channel 2-3 ft, FL Straits 2-3 ft, SE Gulf 2-3 ft. Bay/nearshore waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

WAVE HEIGHTS TODAY...Gentle to moderate easterly breezes. Bay/Gulfside 1-2 ft, W of Marquesas ~2 ft, Hawk Channel 2-3 ft, FL Straits 2-3 ft, SE Gulf 2-3 ft. Bay/nearshore waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.