We continue to monitor a disorganized disturbance currently over Southeast Louisiana. Based on the current structure of the disturbance (storms displaced well away from the center), the chances of it developing into a tropical depression later today are decreasing. The National Hurricane Center is now giving this system a 10% chance of development into a tropical depression, which is a lower probability than previous outlooks. Regardless of development, a surge of tropical moisture could enhance the risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in Southeast Texas on Friday.
Key Messages
A surge of tropical moisture may bring showers and thunderstorms to SE Texas late this week.
Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall for areas east of I-45 on Friday.
Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall for areas east of College Station through Saturday.
What We’re Watching
This heavy rainfall threat will greatly depend on how a disturbance over Florida evolves over the next several days.
Actions
Remain weather-aware and stay tuned for forecast updates!
Weather conditions tonight: Warm with lows in the 70s to lower 80s. 20-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the early morning hours of Friday.
Weather conditions for Friday. Hot with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Lows in the 70s to lower 80s. A 20-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, decreasing to 20-30% at night.
Extended Weather Outlook
Marginal to Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall Friday through Saturday, mainly East of I-45.
Hot weather expected daily with highs in the upper 80s/90s and lows in the 70s/lower 80s. Showers and thunderstorms possible on Friday and Saturday, decreasing Sunday and onwards.
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