An upper level disturbance paired with increasing moisture will lead to scattered to widespread showers and storms Friday into Saturday. Locally heavy rainfall is possible. Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall on Friday for most of Southeast Texas.
There remains some uncertainty in the exact timing of the heaviest rain. Guidance currently suggesting most of the rain to occur late Friday night into Saturday, but this could change.
Though there is a correlation with lower overall Atlantic activity during El Niño years, there is not quite as strong of a correlation with Gulf storm formation. Strong hurricanes are still possible.
The 2026 hurricane season has officially begun. Here are some helpful guidelines to help you stay prepared: determine your risk, develop an evacuation plan, assemble disaster supplies, get an insurance check, strengthen your home, help your neighbor, and complete a written plan.
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